ilmscore | Recession Probability Predictions
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Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 6
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 6
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Goldman Sachs has revised its recession probability down to 15%.
"Goldman Sachs says that never mind, there's only a 15% chance that we're going to enter a recession."
Oct 29, 2024
Pending
Goldman Sachs revised its recession probability estimate downwards from 35% to 15%.
"Goldman Sachs says that we had a 35% chance to enter a recession but fast forward to today Goldman S..."
Oct 21, 2024
Pending
There is a predicted 56% chance of a recession occurring before 2026.
"the bad news is it's predicting a 56% chance we could go into one before 2026"
Sep 18, 2024
Pending
There is a 50% chance of a recession being confirmed within the next 12 months.
"some estimates say that we have a 50 chance of confirming a recession in the next 12 months"
Jul 27, 2022
Pending
The stock market is pricing in an 85% chance of a recession.
"well the stock market implies an 85 chance of this happening"
Jul 27, 2022
Pending
A New York Fed model estimates an 80% chance of a recession.
"a new york fed model recently put the chance of a recession at 80 percent"
Jul 13, 2022
Pending